UK common election outcomes 2024: dwell tracker

0/650 seats declared

Outcomes defined

+/- figures primarily based on 2019 outcomes modelled to new constituency boundaries. If a seat’s boundaries didn’t change, +/- figures primarily based on defending social gathering at dissolution

*326 seats wanted for an general majority. A working majority requires a decrease quantity as sure MPs don’t normally vote

First outcomes anticipated after 11:30pm

Map sort

Click on to pick out constituency

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How does the UK common election work?

The Home of Commons is the primary lawmaking physique for the UK, the opposite being the unelected Home of Lords. It consists of 650 members, every of whom is elected by a geographical constituency of roughly equal inhabitants.

In every constituency, the candidate with the most important variety of votes wins. There is no such thing as a must win 50% of the vote, and votes for different candidates are in impact misplaced. This is named first-past-the-post voting.

The Commons additionally chooses the prime minister. By conference, the monarch invitations the chief of the most important social gathering to type a authorities. The potential prime minister must have the help of the vast majority of MPs. That is doable in the event that they lead a celebration with an general majority or have the backing of different events.

A majority technically requires 326 MPs (half of all seats plus one), however a small variety of MPs – together with the speaker, his deputies and the members of Sinn Féin – don’t normally vote. This implies a working majority could be achieved with just below 50% of seats.

About these outcomes

These outcomes are offered by the Press Affiliation.

Boundary overview
Because the 2019 election, there was a boundary overview, which means this election has been fought, for probably the most half, in new constituencies. Due to this fact, for these 573 seats, the 2019 consequence will likely be taken from modelled knowledge that reveals how these new constituencies would have voted then had they existed on the time. This modelled knowledge is sourced from analysis by Colin Rallings, Michael Thrasher, David Denver and Nicholas Whyte, who’ve modelled and amalgamated the outdated outcomes to the brand new boundaries.

For the 77 constituencies that stay unchanged, the outcomes present an easy comparability with the seat’s sitting social gathering at parliament’s dissolution.

The full variety of seats per nation has modified because of the boundary overview, to 543 in England (+10), 57 in Scotland (-2), 32 in Wales (-8) and 18 in Northern Eire (no change).

Sitting events
A seat’s sitting social gathering is the winner within the modelled 2019 election outcomes for seats created within the boundary overview, and the social gathering on dissolution for the seats which are unchanged from 2019. Which means if a seat is unchanged from 2019 and has had a byelection, or if its MP has been suspended or modified social gathering, that will likely be mirrored within the “sitting party”, each for the seat and for the social gathering totals. If there was a boundary change and due to this fact the seat is new, the Press Affiliation doesn’t take byelections or defections into consideration.

Vote shares
Nationwide vote share figures are primarily based on the modelled 2019 outcomes for seats with boundary modifications and the historic 2019 outcomes for the seats with out boundary modifications.

A seat’s vote change figures are calculated in opposition to its 2019 modelled outcomes, except the seat is similar as in 2019, through which case they’re in opposition to the historic outcomes.

Different notes
This technique might differ from the insurance policies of the broadcasters, which may result in minor variations within the seat change quantity for the events, or within the “change of party” messages for particular person constituencies.

The speaker’s seat of Chorley, if he’s re-elected, will likely be counted in the direction of the Labour social gathering complete.

The “proportional view” map is a kind of cartogram, the place every constituency has an equal dimension and weighting. This implies probably the most densely populated areas, comparable to London, look very completely different to how they would seem on a geographical map however all seats are positioned inside their right area or nation.

Illustrations by Sam Kerr