Labour gained’t have the ability to depend on ethnic minority voters as ‘bloc’ of help in future, says main report – UK politics stay

Keir Starmer’s determination to just accept clothes freebies “looks greedy”, Boris Johnson, the previous Tory PM has claimed. As Jamie Grierson stories, Johnson, who’s doing interviews to advertise his much-ridiculed memoir, appears to have forgotten his personal file of freebie-harvesting on a lavish scale.

Right here is John Crace’s digested learn of the Johnson guide, which is properly price a learn (John’s article – not the guide, I’m instructed).

As Gwyn Topham stories, the federal government has been instructed by the rail trade that constructing HS2 all the best way to London Euston and Crewe might save the federal government cash by enabling it to lease the road out for way more.

Throughout her morning interview spherical Louise Haigh, the transport secretary, additionally all however confirmed that HS2 shall be prolonged to Euston station in London.

When Rishi Sunak introduced that the final authorities was cancelling the Birmingham to Manchester leg of HS2, he mentioned that it will undoubtedly run to Outdated Oak Widespread, a station in west London.

He additionally indicated that the ultimate stretch, a 4.5 mile tunnel from Outdated Oak Widespread to Euston, would go forward too. However he mentioned this was depending on the mission attracting personal sector funding, which meant the federal government couldn’t 100% confim it will be accomplished.

As PA Media stories, the Commons’ public accounts committee issued a report in February stating it was “highly sceptical” that the Division for Transport would have the ability to entice personal funding on “the scale and speed required” to make extending HS2 to Euston “a success”.

Labour has inherited the final authorities’s plans and has not but mentioned the Euston stretch will certainly go forward.

However, in an interview on Instances Radio this morning, requested if the Euston leg was reasonably priced, Haigh replied:

We shall be making an announcement on that quickly. Nevertheless it definitely would by no means have made sense to depart it between Outdated Oak Widespread and Birmingham.

Requested if the announcement could come within the funds, she mentioned: “It may be made around those decisions.”

Keir Starmer doesn’t have an issue with ladies, the transport secretary, Louise Haigh, has mentioned, including that the prime minister had promoted quite a few ladies – however she admitted the federal government had made “missteps”. Jessica Elgot has the story.

Good morning. Labour has already been in workplace for nearly 100 days, however in some respects it nonetheless looks like we’re at first of a brand new political season. This morning Keir Starmer is chairing his first cupboard since Morgan McSweeeney changed Sue Grey as the important thing aide in No 10 (a transfer which might have radical implications, as Pippa Crerar stories right here), this afternoon Tory MPs are holding one other poll to elect their subsequent chief, and, with the convention recess over, MPs are getting all the way down to a busy three months of parliamentary enterprise, with the funds solely three weeks away tomorrow.

Labour gained an enormous majority on the election, however the massive story of politics lately is the fragementation of the voters, and this morning the thinktank UK in a Altering Europe has revealed a serious report on the attitudes and voting behaviours of ethnic minority Britons. For anybody on this matter, it has plenty of excellent knowledge, however two findings particularly stand out.

• Labour won’t be able to depend on ethnic minority voters as a ‘bloc’ of help sooner or later, the report says. In his introduction James Kanagasooriam, the pollster from Focaldata who produced the information used within the report, says that it’s nonetheless the case that, total, ethnic minority Britons are more likely to vote left than proper than white Britons. He says:

On the 2024 election, the mixed vote share of Labour, the Greens and the Liberal Democrats was 66% amongst ethnic minorities, whereas that for the Conservatives and Reform UK was 26%. Amongst white voters, the equal figures have been 53% and 41%. Any dialogue over Labour’s issues with minority voters and Conservative positive factors must be tempered by these details.

However he goes on:

At future elections, Labour can’t depend on ethnic minority voters as a ‘bloc’ of help. It’s true that the Labour Occasion nonetheless convinces a far higher proportion of minorities with ‘warm’ views of the get together to vote for it than the Conservative Occasion does. However amongst many ethnic teams, there’s a basic disjunction between opinion on the salient problems with the day and voting patterns. Our polling means that Labour help amongst ethnic minorities is an ossified cultural and historic legacy that would disappear in a short time.

This chart exhibits how ethnic minority voting behaviour modified between 2019 and 2024.

• Having a level makes white voters extra leftwing, however ethnic minority voters extra rightwing, the report says. In his introduction Kanagasooriam describes this because the Lee Anderson-Rishi Sunak consider Tory help. He explains:

The demography of proper and left is vastly completely different between white and non-white voters. White voters differ vastly on their academic profile, with non-graduates drifting proper during the last 20 years, and graduates to the left. Amongst non-white Britons, graduate degree schooling makes you proportionately extra more likely to be Conservative. Class cleavages and patterns which have disappeared from the voting patterns of white Britons exist and are certainly getting stronger amongst non-white voters. The Conservative Occasion will proceed to have its esoteric coalition of prosperous minorities and nongraduate whites and Labour the other. In different phrases, the Lee Anderson – Rishi Sunak spectrum is a function, not a bug, of right-wing politics.

And this chart illustrates the purpose.

There’s a abstract of the report right here, the primary 77-page doc is right here, and the technical appendix is right here.

Right here is the agenda for the day.

9.30am: Keir Starmer chairs cupboard.

9.30am: The Workplace for Nationwide Statistics publishes its newest inhabitants estimates.

11am: The 4 Tory management candidates – James Cleverly, Robert Jenrick, Kemi Badenoch and Tom Tugendhat – are due to participate in a non-public hustings for Tory MPs, earlier than the third poll for MPs opens.

11.30am: Downing Road holds a foyer briefing.

After 12.30pm: MPs start a debate on a Tory opposition day movement, criticising the plan to impose VAT on personal faculty charges.

3pm: Economists from the Institute for Fiscal Research and the Institute for Authorities give proof to the Lords financial affairs committee in regards to the authorities’s debt goal.

3.30pm: Bob Blackman, chair of the 1922 Committee, is because of announce the results of the third poll of Tory MPs for the Tory chief.

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