Many Australians might be weathering chilly winter nights nicely into July earlier than rising daytime temperatures deliver averages up, after components of the nation’s east coast confronted their coldest begin to the season in many years.
Melbourne is forecast to document its coldest day but this yr on Wednesday, with residents anticipated to get up to a brisk 1C morning, adopted by a string of sub-4C in a single day temperatures.
Nonetheless, the excessive strain techniques must also see latest milder daytime temperatures proceed into July. Brisbane on Sunday loved its warmest June day since 2016, with the temperature climbing to 27C.
“We’re expecting high pressure to be dominant across the south still for the next month or two, so that pattern can happen where you’ll get colder nights but milder or warmer days,” mentioned Weatherzone meteorologist James Rout.
“High pressure over the south will continue to suppress rainfall, but not completely cut it off, and it will also make the days a bit warmer and the nights a bit cooler, and help rainfall over eastern parts of Queensland and New South Wales,” Rout mentioned.
Total, rainfall totals throughout the nation had been 9.2% above their June common in keeping with the Bureau of Meteorology.
Sydney soaked up its common yearly whole rainfall of 1210mm in simply the primary six months of 2024, after June noticed some suburbs face as a lot as 159.5mm of rain in a single day.
Whereas rainfall is predicted to ease in July, the probably formation of a La Niña in late spring may imply a moist finish to the yr.
“Potentially 50% above [average], maybe even double … that’s definitely possible,” Rout mentioned.
An exceptionally robust excessive strain system is forecast to settle over Tasmania this week, doubtlessly breaking the Australian document for imply sea stage strain of 1044.3 hPa, noticed over Launceston in 1967.
However Tasmania, Victoria, South Australia, and components of Western Australia can anticipate low autumn rainfall to proceed into winter as extra excessive strain techniques lock moisture out of the south of the nation.